← 5/02/2026 [TCG] League RDO NA Online Grand Archive Regional #1
Horse and TaxesTier 3
at 5/02/2026 [TCG] League RDO NA Online Grand Archive Regional #1
decks
2
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-4-0
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.5%
avg ELO -1.6 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1341
· median 1341
· range 1121–1560
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1237
Q3 1425
1656
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 9.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.3 |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
| Fire Exalted Mordred | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.1 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Nico | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
